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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom27.35%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.2%Kamala Harris7.5%Jon Ossoff5.85%Josh Shapiro4.05%Pete Buttigieg3.95%Andy Beshear2.75%Mark Kelly2.6%James Talarico2.15%Jon Stewart2.15%J.B. Pritzker2.15%Ro Khanna2.1%Gretchen Whitmer1.3%Stephen A. Smith1.15%Wes Moore1.15%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.15%Rahm Emanuel1.15%Michelle Obama1.1%Cory Booker1.05%Mark Cuban1.05%John Fetterman1%Oprah Winfrey0.95%Ruben Gallego0.95%Roy Cooper0.95%Liz Cheney0.85%Chelsea Clinton0.85%Chris Murphy0.85%Barack Obama0.75%Raphael Warnock0.75%George Clooney0.75%Tim Walz0.75%Andrew Yang0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Jared Polis0.75%MrBeast0.75%LeBron James0.75%Hillary Clinton0.75%Gina Raimondo0.65%Beto OβRourke0.65%Phil Murphy0.65%Hunter Biden0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jasmine Crockett0.65%Bernie Sanders0.55%Jul 11, 18:41 pm
Vol79,1BΒ β½
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance38.85%Marco Rubio21.75%Tucker Carlson4.45%Ron DeSantis2.75%Donald Trump1.85%Thomas Massie1.75%Glenn Youngkin1.65%Donald Trump Jr.1.55%Rand Paul1.15%Elon Musk1.15%Ivanka Trump1.15%Tulsi Gabbard1.15%Vivek Ramaswamy1.15%Ted Cruz1.05%Greg Abbott0.95%Nikki Haley0.95%Marjorie Taylor Greene0.9%Brian Kemp0.8%Josh Hawley0.75%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.75%Katie Britt0.75%Matt Gaetz0.75%Eric Trump0.75%Joe Kent0.75%Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.75%Steve Bannon0.75%Tom Brady0.75%John Thune0.65%Elise Stefanik0.65%Byron Donalds0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kristi Noem0.65%Mike Pence0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Erika Kirk0.65%Jul 11, 19:42 pm
Vol41,98BΒ β½
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance19.2%Gavin Newsom17.25%Marco Rubio11.45%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez4.95%Kamala Harris4.5%Jon Ossoff3.65%Josh Shapiro2.25%Donald Trump2.15%Pete Buttigieg1.75%Tucker Carlson1.45%Ron DeSantis1.35%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.3%Andy Beshear1.25%Glenn Youngkin1.15%JB Pritzker1.15%Gretchen Whitmer1.05%Thomas Massie1.05%James Talarico1.05%Elon Musk0.95%Greg Abbott0.95%Stephen Smith0.85%Ivanka Trump0.85%Jamie Dimon0.85%Ro Khanna0.85%Michelle Obama0.85%Nikki Haley0.75%Donald Trump Jr.0.75%Tulsi Gabbard0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Eric Trump0.65%Tim Walz0.65%Wes Moore0.65%Vivek Ramaswamy0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%LeBron James0.55%Jul 11, 19:11 pm
Vol39,82BΒ β½
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3143.5%
June 305.5%
April 300.65%
March 31No
Jul 24, 23:47 pm
Vol8,84BΒ β½
Monthly
Fed decision in April?
No change98.95%
25+ bps increase0.45%
25 bps decrease0.45%
50+ bps decrease0.25%
Nov 13, 00:40 am
Vol6,97BΒ β½
Monthly
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
PΓ©ter Magyar98.65%Viktor OrbΓ‘n0.75%JΓ‘nos LΓ‘zΓ‘r0.05%KlΓ‘ra Dobrev0.05%IstvΓ‘n KapitΓ‘ny0.05%LΓ‘szlΓ³ Toroczkai0.05%Vol
6,79BΒ β½
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom26%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.9%
Jon Ossoff7.1%
Kamala Harris6%
Pete Buttigieg5.5%
Josh Shapiro5.4%
Mark Kelly4.5%
Andy Beshear3.9%
Ro Khanna3.7%
Rahm Emanuel3.5%
J.B. Pritzker2.9%
Wes Moore2.2%
James Talarico2%
Michelle Obama1.7%
Ruben Gallego1.6%
Jon Stewart1.3%
Gretchen Whitmer1.2%
Stephen A. Smith0.9%
Jamie Dimon0.9%
Cory Booker0.9%
Mark Cuban0.9%
Elissa Slotkin0.8%
Roy Cooper0.7%
Graham Platner0.7%
Zohran Mamdani0.6%
Chris Murphy0.5%
Raphael Warnock0.5%
Dwayne Johnson0.3%
Gina Raimondo0.3%
Andrew Yang0.3%
Barack Obama0.2%
Hunter Biden0.2%
John Fetterman0.2%
Bernie Sanders0.2%
Elizabeth Warren0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
Liz Cheney0.1%
Phil Murphy0.1%
Amy Klobuchar0.1%
Jared Polis0.1%
Lebron James0.1%
Hillary Clinton0.1%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%
Beto O'Rourke0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol6,65BΒ β½
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy RodrΓguez62%
NicolΓ‘s Maduro17.9%
MarΓa Corina Machado11%
Edmundo GonzΓ‘lez1.55%
Diosdado Cabello RondΓ³n0.9%
No Head of State0.65%
Donald Trump0.55%
Marco Rubio0.4%
Jorge RodrΓguez0.35%
Dinorah Figuera0.3%
Vladimir Padrino LΓ³pez0.25%
Pete Hegseth0.2%
Frank Donovan0.15%
Evan Pettus0.05%
Dan Caine0.05%
Richard Grenell0.05%
Jan 04, 18:25 pm
Vol6,22BΒ β½
Brazil Presidential Election
FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro41.35%Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva38.5%Renan Santos6.45%Fernando Haddad4.55%Camilo Santana2.85%Ronaldo Caiado2.25%Romeu Zema1.55%Jair Bolsonaro0.75%Michelle Bolsonaro0.45%Aldo Rebelo0.45%Geraldo Alckmin0.45%Eduardo Bolsonaro0.35%Tarcisio de Freitas0.25%Ratinho JΓΊnior0.15%Eduardo Leite0.15%Sep 18, 20:16 pm
Vol3,83BΒ β½
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 3197.95%
June 3094%
April 3090.5%
May 1590.5%
April 789.05%
April 1588.75%
March 15No
March 7No
March 31No
Vol
3,14BΒ β½
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella24.5%Γdouard Philippe24%Marine Le Pen6.5%Jean-Luc MΓ©lenchon6.5%Dominique de Villepin5.65%David Lisnard4.35%Bruno Retailleau2.95%FranΓ§ois Hollande2.8%Gabriel Attal2.65%RaphaΓ«l Glucksmann2.05%Sarah Knafo1.95%GΓ©rald Darmanin1.45%Jean Castex1.15%SΓ©bastien Lecornu1.15%Γric Zemmour0.95%Fabien Roussel0.95%FranΓ§ois Ruffin0.9%ValΓ©rie PΓ©cresse0.75%Manuel Bompard0.65%FranΓ§ois Asselineau0.65%Juan Branco0.65%ClΓ©mentine Autain0.65%Michel Barnier0.65%SΓ©golΓ¨ne Royal0.65%Marine Tondelier0.65%Xavier Bertrand0.65%Olivier Faure0.65%YaΓ«l Braun-Pivet0.65%ClΓ©mence GuettΓ©0.65%Laurent Wauquiez0.55%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0.55%Γlisabeth Borne0.55%Bernard Cazeneuve0.55%FranΓ§ois Bayrou0.55%Mathilde Panot0.55%Carole Delga0.45%Nov 13, 23:10 pm
Vol3,09BΒ β½
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance36%
Marco Rubio26%
Tucker Carlson5.2%
Ron DeSantis3.9%
Donald J. Trump Jr.2.9%
Donald J. Trump2.3%
Thomas Massie1.8%
Glenn Youngkin1.7%
Rand Paul1.3%
Ted Cruz1.1%
Ivanka Trump1.1%
Lara Trump1%
Josh Hawley0.9%
Tulsi Gabbard0.9%
Pete Hegseth0.9%
Marjorie Taylor Greene0.8%
Brian Kemp0.7%
Tom Cotton0.6%
Erika Kirk0.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.4%
Greg Abbott0.4%
Byron Donalds0.3%
Mike Pence0.3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.3%
Nikki Haley0.3%
Steve Bannon0.3%
Katie Britt0.3%
Eric Trump0.3%
John Thune0.2%
Elise Stefanik0.2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.2%
Kristi Noem0.1%
Nicki Minaj0.1%
Elon Musk0.1%
Matt Gaetz0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol2,47BΒ β½
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8.3%Yes91.7%No
Dec 23, 01:07 am
Vol2,45BΒ β½
Monthly
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1.85%Yes98.15%No
Mar 05, 17:13 pm
Vol2,38BΒ β½
Monthly
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7.5%Yes92.5%No
Dec 17, 23:04 pm
Vol2,35BΒ β½
Monthly
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori63.5%Roberto SΓ‘nchez Palomino24.05%Rafael LΓ³pez Aliaga12.5%Rafael BelaΓΊnde Llosa0.05%Vladimir CerrΓ³n0.05%Wolfgang Grozo0.05%Carlos Γlvarez0.05%Roberto Chiabra0.05%CΓ©sar AcuΓ±a0.05%Marisol PΓ©rez Tello0.05%Fiorella Molinelli0.05%MesΓas Guevara0.05%Ricardo Belmont0.05%Enrique Valderrama0.05%Carlos EspΓ‘0.05%Fernando Olivera0.05%JosΓ© Luna0.05%Alfonso LΓ³pez Chau0.05%Yonhy Lescano0.05%Mario Vizcarra0.05%George Forsyth0.05%JosΓ© Williams0.05%Jorge Nieto0.05%Dec 16, 20:20 pm
Vol2,3BΒ β½
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh94.7%Judy Shelton1.55%Michelle Bowman1.45%Jerome Powell0.55%Rick Reider0.55%Stephen Miran0.35%Christopher Waller0.25%Kevin Hassett0.25%Scott Bessent0.25%Mar 04, 20:55 pm
Vol2,24BΒ β½
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance19%
Gavin Newsom18%
Marco Rubio14%
Jon Ossoff5.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez4.8%
Josh Shapiro3.6%
Andy Beshear3.3%
Kamala Harris3.3%
Mark Kelly2.8%
Donald J. Trump2.7%
Pete Buttigieg2.6%
Ron DeSantis2.2%
Tucker Carlson1.9%
Wes Moore1.8%
J.B. Pritzker1.5%
Glenn Youngkin1.4%
Gretchen Whitmer1%
Stephen A. Smith0.9%
Jamie Dimon0.9%
Donald J. Trump Jr.0.6%
Tulsi Gabbard0.5%
Nikki Haley0.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.3%
Greg Abbott0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
May 10, 14:00 pm
Vol2,21BΒ β½
Military action against Iran ends by...?
April 1799.95%
April 9Yes
April 11Yes
April 10Yes
April 12Yes
April 16Yes
April 15Yes
April 13Yes
April 14Yes
April 18Yes
April 23Yes
April 21Yes
April 24Yes
April 22Yes
April 20Yes
April 25Yes
April 19Yes
April 27Yes
April 30Yes
April 29Yes
April 28Yes
April 26Yes
April 1No
April 3No
April 2No
April 7No
April 5No
April 4No
April 6No
April 8No
Mar 27, 18:15 pm
Vol1,95BΒ β½
Monthly
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 3081.5%
May 3177.5%
April 3044.5%
April 2116%
April 151.85%
March 7No
March 31No
March 1No
March 2No
March 15No
April 7No
Feb 28, 16:33 pm
Vol1,95BΒ β½
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 3015.5%
May 318.5%
April 304.5%
April 150.15%
March 31No
Vol
1,9BΒ β½
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3117.5%
March 31No
Nov 25, 18:07 pm
Vol1,89BΒ β½
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 3086.5%
May 3182%
May 1576%
May 83.05%
April 301.2%
October 31, 2025No
March 31, 2026No
Sep 19, 21:25 pm
Vol1,83BΒ β½
California Governor winner?
Tom Steyer66%
Matt Mahan11%
Katie Porter10%
Steve Hilton6%
Xavier Becerra4.1%
Chad Bianco3.5%
ChΓ© Ahn2.1%
Kamala Harris1.4%
Antonio Villaraigosa0.6%
Eric Swalwell0.2%
Betty Yee0.2%
Tony Thurmond0.1%
Rob Bonta0.1%
Michael Younger0.1%
Daniel Mercuri0.1%
Leo Zacky0.1%
Butch Ware0.1%
Toni Atkins0.1%
Ethan Agarwal0.1%
Stephen Cloobeck0.1%
Eleni Kounalakis0.1%
Alex Padilla0.1%
Kyle Langford0.1%
Rick Caruso0.1%
Nicole Shanahan0.1%
May 16, 14:00 pm
Vol1,75BΒ β½
Discover the hottest prediction markets in politics, crypto, sports and moreΠΡΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡΠ·ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ»ΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ Π½Π°ΡΠΈΠΌ ΡΠ²Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠΌΠ»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΎΠ± ΠΎΡΠΊΠ°Π·Π΅ ΠΎΡ ΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ Π΄Π»Ρ Π ΡΠ½ΠΊΠΎΠ² ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΎΠ²; ΠΏΠΎΠΆΠ°Π»ΡΠΉΡΡΠ°, ΠΎΠ·Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ΅ΡΡ Ρ Π½ΠΈΠΌ Π·Π΄Π΅ΡΡ.