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Benutzerdefiniert
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom23.05%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.85%Kamala Harris7.65%Jon Ossoff7.45%Josh Shapiro5.35%Pete Buttigieg4.35%Andy Beshear2.75%James Talarico2.05%Mark Kelly1.75%Rahm Emanuel1.75%Jon Stewart1.65%J.B. Pritzker1.65%Ro Khanna1.65%Hunter Biden1.45%Wes Moore1.35%Michelle Obama1.35%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.25%Stephen A. Smith1.05%Cory Booker0.95%Mark Cuban0.95%Chelsea Clinton0.95%Roy Cooper0.95%Gretchen Whitmer0.85%John Fetterman0.85%Chris Murphy0.85%Oprah Winfrey0.75%Barack Obama0.75%Gina Raimondo0.75%Raphael Warnock0.75%Bernie Sanders0.75%Liz Cheney0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Ruben Gallego0.75%Jared Polis0.75%MrBeast0.75%LeBron James0.75%Hillary Clinton0.75%George Clooney0.65%Beto O’Rourke0.65%Tim Walz0.65%Andrew Yang0.65%Phil Murphy0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Graham Platner0.65%Jasmine Crockett0.65%Jul 11, 18:41 pm
Vol1,02B €
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance33.95%Marco Rubio23.15%Tucker Carlson6.45%Ron DeSantis3.05%Donald Trump Jr.2.55%Thomas Massie2.15%Donald Trump2.05%Greg Abbott1.75%Glenn Youngkin1.35%Vivek Ramaswamy1.25%Ivanka Trump1.05%Rand Paul0.95%Marjorie Taylor Greene0.95%Elon Musk0.95%Ted Cruz0.95%Tulsi Gabbard0.95%Brian Kemp0.85%Josh Hawley0.85%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.85%Katie Britt0.85%Nikki Haley0.85%Steve Bannon0.85%Kim Kardashian0.85%Tom Brady0.85%John Thune0.75%Elise Stefanik0.75%Matt Gaetz0.75%Byron Donalds0.75%Eric Trump0.75%Joe Kent0.75%Pete Hegseth0.75%Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.75%Erika Kirk0.75%Kristi Noem0.65%Mike Pence0.65%Jul 11, 19:42 pm
Vol566,31M €
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance14.95%Gavin Newsom14.85%Marco Rubio14.8%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.25%Kamala Harris5.05%Jon Ossoff4.35%Tucker Carlson3.05%Josh Shapiro2.95%Pete Buttigieg2.4%Andy Beshear1.65%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.65%Ron DeSantis1.45%Donald Trump1.45%Thomas Massie1.35%Donald Trump Jr.1.15%Jamie Dimon1.05%JB Pritzker1.05%Ro Khanna1.05%Elon Musk0.95%Stephen Smith0.85%Greg Abbott0.85%James Talarico0.85%Wes Moore0.75%Glenn Youngkin0.75%Ivanka Trump0.75%Vivek Ramaswamy0.75%Tulsi Gabbard0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Michelle Obama0.75%Eric Trump0.65%Gretchen Whitmer0.65%Tim Walz0.65%LeBron James0.65%Nikki Haley0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jul 11, 19:11 pm
Vol539,58M €
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3176.5%
October 3168%
August 3158.5%
July 3151.5%
June 3043.5%
June 1517.25%
April 30No
April 22No
May 31No
April 24No
May 15No
May 8No
May 11No
May 13No
May 22No
May 26No
June 7No
Apr 08, 16:23 pm
Vol250,19M €
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.7%
Jon Ossoff8.9%
Kamala Harris7.8%
Rahm Emanuel5.5%
Pete Buttigieg5.3%
Josh Shapiro4.8%
J.B. Pritzker4.1%
Mark Kelly3.5%
Andy Beshear3.3%
Ro Khanna2.5%
Jon Stewart2.1%
Wes Moore2.1%
Hunter Biden1.7%
Michelle Obama1.7%
Elissa Slotkin1.3%
James Talarico1.3%
Graham Platner1.2%
Gretchen Whitmer1%
Mark Cuban1%
Mitch Landrieu1%
Ruben Gallego0.9%
Stephen A. Smith0.8%
Chris Murphy0.7%
Cory Booker0.7%
Raphael Warnock0.5%
Jared Polis0.4%
Bernie Sanders0.4%
Andrew Yang0.4%
Zohran Mamdani0.3%
Dwayne Johnson0.3%
Amy Klobuchar0.3%
Gina Raimondo0.3%
John Fetterman0.3%
Roy Cooper0.3%
Jamie Dimon0.2%
Barack Obama0.2%
Lebron James0.2%
Hillary Clinton0.2%
Beto O'Rourke0.2%
Elizabeth Warren0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
Liz Cheney0.1%
Phil Murphy0.1%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol107,46M €
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3152.5%
June 301.6%
March 31No
April 30No
May 31No
Jul 24, 23:47 pm
Vol105,43M €
Monatlich
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori96.95%Roberto Sánchez Palomino2.7%Rafael Belaúnde Llosa0.05%Vladimir Cerrón0.05%Wolfgang Grozo0.05%Carlos Álvarez0.05%Roberto Chiabra0.05%Rafael López Aliaga0.05%César Acuña0.05%Marisol Pérez Tello0.05%Fiorella Molinelli0.05%Mesías Guevara0.05%Ricardo Belmont0.05%Enrique Valderrama0.05%Carlos Espá0.05%Fernando Olivera0.05%José Luna0.05%Alfonso López Chau0.05%Yonhy Lescano0.05%Mario Vizcarra0.05%George Forsyth0.05%José Williams0.05%Jorge Nieto0.05%Vol
85,22M €
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva44.5%Flávio Bolsonaro27.95%Renan Santos15.75%Camilo Santana3.8%Fernando Haddad2.75%Ronaldo Caiado1.7%Romeu Zema1.55%Michelle Bolsonaro0.65%Jair Bolsonaro0.65%Geraldo Alckmin0.45%Ratinho Júnior0.25%Tereza Cristina0.25%Tarcisio de Freitas0.15%Eduardo Leite0.15%Aldo Rebelo0.15%Eduardo Bolsonaro0.15%Helder Barbalho0.15%Sep 18, 20:16 pm
Vol85,03M €
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella27.5%Édouard Philippe17.5%Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%Marine Le Pen7%Gabriel Attal4.35%Dominique de Villepin3.45%François Hollande3.35%David Lisnard2.45%Bruno Retailleau2.35%Sarah Knafo2.05%Raphaël Glucksmann1.95%Éric Zemmour0.95%Sébastien Lecornu0.95%Gérald Darmanin0.85%Laurent Wauquiez0.75%Manuel Bompard0.65%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0.65%Carole Delga0.65%Valérie Pécresse0.65%Jean Castex0.65%Élisabeth Borne0.65%François Asselineau0.65%Juan Branco0.65%Clémentine Autain0.65%Michel Barnier0.65%Ségolène Royal0.65%Fabien Roussel0.65%Marine Tondelier0.65%François Ruffin0.65%Xavier Bertrand0.65%Olivier Faure0.65%Bernard Cazeneuve0.65%François Bayrou0.65%Mathilde Panot0.65%Yaël Braun-Pivet0.65%Clémence Guetté0.55%Nov 13, 23:10 pm
Vol83,35M €
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro70.95%
Delcy Rodríguez14.5%
María Corina Machado3.55%
Jorge Rodríguez0.7%
No Head of State0.6%
Edmundo González0.55%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0.45%
Donald Trump0.35%
Vladimir Padrino López0.2%
Dinorah Figuera0.15%
Evan Pettus0.15%
Dan Caine0.15%
Marco Rubio0.15%
Pete Hegseth0.15%
Frank Donovan0.15%
Richard Grenell0.15%
Jan 04, 18:25 pm
Vol78,27M €
Fed Decision in June?
No change99.35%
25 bps decrease0.25%
25 bps increase0.25%
50+ bps decrease0.05%
50+ bps increase0.05%
Dec 10, 21:50 pm
Vol72,52M €
Monatlich
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Karen Bass65%
Nithya Raman36%
Adam MillerNo
Rick CarusoNo
Austin BeutnerNo
Spencer PrattNo
Vincent WaliNo
Rae HuangNo
Asaad AlnajjarNo
Gina ViolaNo
Jul 09, 14:00 pm
Vol71,66M €
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 3099.95%
June 1599.95%
June 899.95%
July 15Yes
July 31Yes
June 22Yes
May 31No
May 8No
May 15No
May 6No
May 7No
May 24No
May 21No
May 18No
May 27No
Vol
59,57M €
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 3110%
July 316%
June 303.65%
June 243.15%
April 30No
March 31No
May 31No
April 15No
Vol
46M €
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1.45%Yes98.55%No
Dec 17, 23:04 pm
Vol45,26M €
Monatlich
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3110.5%
September 305.5%
June 300.85%
March 31No
April 30No
May 31No
Nov 25, 18:07 pm
Vol45,23M €
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30Yes
May 31Yes
May 15Yes
October 31, 2025No
March 31, 2026No
April 30No
May 8No
BeendetVol
42,8M €
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance31%
Marco Rubio29%
Tucker Carlson5.7%
Donald J. Trump Jr.4.9%
Ron DeSantis4.8%
Donald J. Trump2.9%
Thomas Massie2.8%
Ivanka Trump1.3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1.1%
Glenn Youngkin1.1%
Ted Cruz1%
Lara Trump1%
Spencer Pratt1%
Jeff Bezos1%
Candace Owens1%
Josh Hawley0.9%
Nikki Haley0.7%
Brian Kemp0.7%
Rand Paul0.7%
Tulsi Gabbard0.7%
Nicki Minaj0.6%
Steve Bannon0.6%
Eric Trump0.6%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.5%
Byron Donalds0.5%
Mike Pence0.5%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.5%
Katie Britt0.5%
Greg Abbott0.5%
Tom Cotton0.4%
Pete Hegseth0.4%
John Thune0.3%
Erika Kirk0.3%
Kristi Noem0.2%
Elon Musk0.2%
Elise Stefanik0.2%
Matt Gaetz0.2%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol40,83M €
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra90.2%
Steve Hilton9.5%
Tony ThurmondNo
Eric SwalwellNo
Antonio VillaraigosaNo
Ché AhnNo
Betty YeeNo
Tom SteyerNo
Rob BontaNo
Michael YoungerNo
Daniel MercuriNo
Leo ZackyNo
Butch WareNo
Toni AtkinsNo
Ethan AgarwalNo
Stephen CloobeckNo
Katie PorterNo
Eleni KounalakisNo
Alex PadillaNo
Kamala HarrisNo
Kyle LangfordNo
Rick CarusoNo
Nicole ShanahanNo
Matt MahanNo
Chad BiancoNo
May 16, 14:00 pm
Vol40,17M €
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3181%
June 3066.5%
June 2149%
June 1524.05%
April 18No
April 22No
April 30No
April 16No
April 15No
April 17No
April 21No
April 19No
April 20No
April 23No
April 24No
April 27No
April 26No
April 29No
April 25No
May 5No
April 28No
May 15No
May 31No
May 22No
May 28No
June 7No
June 3No
June 10No
Vol
39,32M €
Monatlich
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Marco Rubio18%
J.D. Vance16%
Gavin Newsom15%
Jon Ossoff6.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.2%
Kamala Harris5.3%
Pete Buttigieg3.3%
Mark Kelly3.1%
Donald J. Trump3%
Ron DeSantis2.9%
Andy Beshear2.9%
Josh Shapiro2.8%
Tucker Carlson2%
Rahm Emanuel2%
J.B. Pritzker1.7%
Donald J. Trump Jr.1.6%
Wes Moore1.3%
Tulsi Gabbard1%
Thomas Massie1%
James Talarico1%
Hunter Biden1%
Stephen A. Smith0.7%
Gretchen Whitmer0.7%
Glenn Youngkin0.5%
Nikki Haley0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.3%
Greg Abbott0.3%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
May 10, 14:00 pm
Vol37,47M €
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra87.95%Steve Hilton8.45%Rick Caruso0.15%Nicole Shanahan0.15%Antonio Villaraigosa0.15%Chad Bianco0.15%Butch Ware0.15%Alex Padilla0.15%Tom Steyer0.15%Matt Mahan0.15%Eleni Kounalakis0.05%Kyle Langford0.05%Katie Porter0.05%Tony Thurmond0.05%Elaine Culotti0.05%Leo Zacky0.05%Kamala Harris0.05%Eric Swalwell0.05%Betty Yee0.05%Stephen Cloobeck0.05%Michael Younger0.05%Daniel Mercuri0.05%Toni Atkins0.05%Oct 09, 23:36 pm
Vol33,48M €
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 3182.5%June 3071.5%June 1542%June 1216.7%June 17--June 18--June 14--June 13--June 16--June 19--May 26NoMay 24NoMay 23NoJune 7NoMay 25NoMay 31NoMay 28NoMay 27NoMay 30NoMay 29NoJune 3NoJune 9NoJune 5NoMay 23, 19:10 pm
Vol32,81M €
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella87.5%Iván Cepeda Castro12.5%David Luna Sánchez (IND)0.05%Claudia López (IND)0.05%Vicky Dávila (IND)0.05%Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0.05%Juan Manuel Galán (NL)0.05%Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)0.05%Sergio Fajardo (DC)0.05%Mauricio Cárdenas0.05%Gustavo Bolívar (HC)0.05%Enrique Peñalosa0.05%Paloma Valencia0.05%Juan Carlos Pinzón0.05%Roy Barreras0.05%Daniel Quintero0.05%Carlos Felipe Córdoba0.05%Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)NoGermán Vargas Lleras (RC)NoJul 29, 17:32 pm
Vol31,51M €
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