Waves (WAVES) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Technical Rebound Potential (Mixed Impact)

Overview: WAVES is in a deep technical downtrend, trading 74% below its 2025 high. Key indicators suggest extreme selling pressure: the 14-day RSI is at 18.77, deep in oversold territory, which historically precedes short-term bounces. However, the price is well below all major moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at $0.53), confirming the dominant bearish trend. The next major resistance is the 200-day SMA, while immediate support is the recent low near $0.28.

What this means: The severely oversold condition increases the probability of a technical relief rally in the coming weeks. However, any bounce is likely to be capped by the heavy overhead supply from the moving averages. Sustained recovery requires a break above the 200-day SMA, which would signal a potential trend reversal.

2. Ecosystem & AI Innovation (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The Waves ecosystem has been actively shipping upgrades. In July 2025, it launched an AI Launchpad and AI Liquidity Manager to automate DeFi strategies. Furthermore, its EVM-compatible Layer-2, Units Network, secured a $10 million funding round led by Nimbus Capital in June 2025 (CoinMarketCap). The project also completed a "Finality" upgrade to achieve ~2-second transaction confirmations, enhancing scalability.

What this means: These developments are aimed at increasing on-chain utility and developer activity. Successful adoption of the new AI tools and growth of the Units Network could drive new demand for WAVES tokens for gas, staking, and governance. Institutional backing adds credibility, which may attract speculative capital if product traction becomes evident.

3. Exchange & Liquidity Risk (Bearish Impact)

Overview: A major overhang for WAVES is its delisting from Binance in June 2024, which triggered a 42% price crash at the time (CCN). While it remains listed on other exchanges like Biconomy, the loss of the largest global exchange severely reduced liquidity and mainstream access. Current turnover (volume/market cap) is 0.17, indicating a relatively thin market prone to volatility.

What this means: Reduced liquidity on major exchanges makes WAVES more vulnerable to large price swings on modest order flow. It also limits institutional participation and can perpetuate a negative perception of the project's health. Regaining a top-tier listing is a significant, unresolved challenge for broadening investor base and stability.

Conclusion

WAVES's price outlook is a tug-of-war between its oversold technical setup and innovative pipeline against a backdrop of weakened liquidity. A trader might watch for a short-term bounce from oversold levels, but the path to a sustained rally depends on the ecosystem proving its new AI and L2 tools can drive tangible adoption.

Can user growth on Units Network offset the persistent liquidity drain from the Binance delisting?